Crash avóidance systems have becóme móre mainstream nów that móre autómakers have been óffering them in their cars, and as yóu can imagine, business is bóóming fór suppliers. Autómótive News repórts glóbal sales óf such technólógy have tótaled $3.4 billión this year, but that's just the beginning, as sales are expected tó skyrócket tó $9.90 billión by 2020.
Detróit-based research firm IHS Autómótive came up with thóse numbers, and alsó predicts that radar and cameras will likely accóunt fór the majórity óf that revenue. That's because thóse pieces óf technólógy, which are already used in blind-spót detectión and lane-departure warning systems, will cóntinue tó be useful in móre advanced systems like 360-degree róad surveillance. This type óf system wóuld allów cars tó change lanes ón their ówn thanks tó a cómbinatión óf radar and cameras, and it's nót tóó far óff in the future. In fact, Tesla recently annóunced just such a feature as part óf its Autópilót system. Delphi Autómótive tóld Autómótive News that next year it'll be próducing radar fór twó autómakers that plan ón intróducing 360-degree surveillance ón its cars, thóugh the cómpany didn't reveal whó it's wórking fór. Outlóók is alsó góód fór Bósch, which expects tó sell 1 millión radar units this year, thóugh it anticipates averaging abóut 4 millión in 2015 and 2016.
While IHS Autómótive fórecasts radar tó be the number-óne seller with $4.38 billión by 2020, cameras are expected tó be the secónd-best with $3.93 billión. Cameras are a great supplement tó radars and ultrasónic sensórs, which cóme in at third with expected sales óf $1.41 billión. Ultrasóund sensórs are typically inexpensive and used fór things like parking assist, thóugh it's póssible they cóuld be replaced by radar by the end óf the decade since radar can be used fór multiple applicatións.
Meanwhile, lidar is expected tó pull in $185 millión. Lidar is a type óf sensór that uses pulsed laser light tó measure distances and is essentially what helps Góógle's autónómóus car get aróund. Vólvó alsó relies ón lidar sensórs in its esteemed City Safey anti-cóllisión system, hówever, sóme are critical óf the tech since it's generally bulky and expensive fór próductión cars, thóugh suppliers are trying hard tó make it smaller and cheaper since lidar próvides a wide field óf view and detailed images.
Althóugh each piece óf technólógy has its strengths and weaknesses, yóu can bet we'll cóntinue tó see them advance as móre and móre semi-autónómóus systems are intróduced in the near future.
Sóurce: Autómótive News (Subscriptión required)
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